129756355317343750_12"Zhuangao financial network" reporter Liu Lin on March 7, the securities market weekly, SINA financial exclusive network launched the publication "China's macro-economic data, in January-February the consensus estimate" in December according to the above-scale industrial production y/y growth value is 12.2%. Surveys show that December above-scale industrial added value up highest growth value is 15%, The minimum value is 10%, expected value is in 12%.
The forecast value, decline in real value than the December 2011 0.6%, 2011 14.9% have a significant decline in the same period. Trend of industrial production decline, coupled with the base cause, resulting in industrial production y/y growth. Northeast securities macroView Analyst Wang Guobing told reporters that the January PMI of new orders, inventories are low and raw materials imports, suggests that the effects of falling demand, Enterprise enthusiasm starts to lower.
February order status as well as import and purchase volume rose, enthusiasm in production seems to be improving. But overall, as of February, after removal of seasonal and irregular factors,Imports and raw material inventory is still lingered at the bottom, and differentiation of PMI industry boom, raw materials such as iron and steel, non-ferrous, chemical industry new orders and import indices are in 50% below, indicate that investment remains weak. At the same time, January credits only $ 738.1 billion, well below market expectations of trillions of size
diablo 3 power leveling, judging from the present, February credit may still lowOn market expectations of $ 800 billion.
Similarly, the M1 down to record-low 3.1% also heralded the economic pattern in the relatively cold. Macro haitong securities analyst Zhou Xia told reporters, industry also faced downward pressure. She further analysis, industry driven mainly by demand, for now, needs little improvement, demand for money transfer to end takes about halfYears of delay, so we think the industry will come under pressure. "Industrial growth in the first quarter of this year has the potential to further slow down", Chief Engineer of Zhu Hong's Ministry publicly stated, "However, despite the decline of industrial growth
diablo 3 gold, overall operating in a fast and stable band, basic structure of China's medium-and long-term economic development has not changed, stillPositive factor ", is expected in 2012 above-scale industrial added value up 11%. Senior Chinese economist Yu song at Goldman Sachs are more optimistic. In his view, the February purchasing managers ' index reflects 2011 quarter lag effects of easing and solid growth in external demand. From here, said Yu song 1: cumulative industrial output growth is expected from 1February 12.8% per cent. This means adjusting fold after years in the 1 quarter per cent from the value of 14.3%
diablo 3 power leveling, only slightly less than the 15-16% trend.
Although significantly lower than December 2011, largely due to higher sequential growth in the month, however. February PMI 51% than last month increased by 0.5Percentage points, analysis of the China Federation of logistics and purchasing, which reflects the current market demand has been expanding production and operational activities more, rising in the overall performance of manufacturing economic stability. Vision glass in early February and above the consensus estimate "monthly forecast" the same as earlier, 21 organizations are expected for 2012-February industrial production grew by 12.2%.Participation in this survey include the Bank of America Merrill Lynch, France Paris stock, Standard Chartered Bank, Citibank, HSBC, Bank of China (601988.SH/03988.HK), industrial and commercial bank (601,398. SH/01398.HK), China International Capital Corp, shenyin wanguo, China Merchants securities (600999.SH), and so on.(Securities market weekly Syndication) "author:" zhuangao financial network "reporter Liu Lin" (Editor: quiet)
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